Why Verification Feels Random but Usually Isn’t

Verification often feels inconsistent.

People notice things like:

• Being asked one day but not the next

• Verification appearing after routine actions

• No obvious trigger

That randomness can feel unsettling.

In most cases, the behaviour is pattern-based, not random.

Verification responds to probability, not rules

Verification systems don’t operate on simple rules like:

“After X days, ask again.”

They operate on probability thresholds.

When multiple small signals combine to reduce confidence, verification appears.

When they don’t, it doesn’t.

That makes the behaviour hard to predict from the outside.

Why similar actions can produce different outcomes

Doing the same thing twice doesn’t always create the same conditions.

Small differences can matter, such as:

• Time of day

• Network conditions

• Recent account activity

• System-wide adjustments

• Behaviour before the action

So even familiar actions can cross a threshold one day and not another.

Why systems don’t smooth this out

Perfect consistency would be easier for attackers to learn.

So systems intentionally tolerate variability.

That variability protects the system, even if it frustrates users.

Why this unpredictability feels stressful

Humans prefer cause-and-effect.

Verification often breaks that expectation.

When people can’t see the cause, they assume the worst.

In reality, the cause is usually just aggregate uncertainty, not a specific problem.

Why randomness doesn’t imply escalation

Random-feeling verification usually means:

• The system is still allowing access

• No hard judgement has been made

• Confidence is fluctuating, not collapsing

True escalation looks more stable and explicit.

Why this usually settles over time

As behaviour repeats:

• Probabilities stabilise

• Confidence smooths out

• Verification appears less often

What felt random becomes invisible again.

When unpredictability might matter more

Occasionally, verification remains unpredictable for long periods.

That usually coincides with:

• Constant environmental changes

• Irregular usage patterns

• Ongoing system caution

Those situations behave differently and are explained elsewhere.

The useful takeaway

Verification feels random because you’re seeing probability at work.

Once you understand that, the behaviour feels less arbitrary and far less personal.

Related explanations on this site

Why accounts suddenly ask for extra verification

Why verification is triggered even when nothing has changed